Predictability in Science: Accuracy and Limitations

Atti della Sessione Plenaria del 3-6 novembre 2006
W. Arber, N. Cabibbo, M. Sánchez Sorondo (eds)
Acta 19
Vatican City, 2008
pp. XLII-277
ISBN 978-88-7761-094-2
SESSION I – CHAOS AND PREDICTIONS IN PHYSICS AND ASTRONOMY
Predictions in Astrophysics and Cosmology (PDF)
Rudolf Muradian
Complexity and Predictions at the Fundamental Level of Scientific Knowledge (PDF)
Antonino Zichichi
SESSION II – GEOSCIENCES AND ENVIRONMENTAL EVOLUTION
Change of Scaling Before Extreme Events in Complex Systems (PDF)
Vladimir Keilis-Borok, Alexandre Soloviev, Andrei Gabrielov, Ilia Zaliapin
Global Warming Science: Predictions, Surprises and Uncertainties (PDF)
Veerabhadran Ramanathan
Predictability of Science and Climate Change (PDF)
Mario J. Molina
An Example of Geo-Engineering: Cooling Down Earth’s Climate by Sulfur Emissions in the Stratosphere (PDF)
Paul J. Crutzen
SESSION III – PREDICTIONS IN THE LIFE SCIENCES
Predicting the Minimal Sustainable Genome (PDF)
Rafael Vicuña
The New Possibilities of Prediction and Prevention of Cancer (PDF)
Umberto Veronesi
Stochastic Genetic Variations and their Role in Biological Evolution (PDF)
Werner Arber
SESSION IV – PHILOSOPHICAL AND SOCIETAL ASPECTS
Epistemological Study of the Vocabulary of Prediction in Science and Theology (PDF)
Jean-Michel Maldamé
Predictability, Measurements and Cosmic Time (PDF)
Michael Heller
Predictability, Determinism, and Emergence (PDF)
Jürgen Mittelstrass
Predictability: Prophecy, Prognosis and Prediction. A Study in Neuroeducation (PDF)
Antonio M. Battro
SESSION V – RESEARCH PROCEDURES: THEORIES AND THEIR VERIFICATION, SERENDIPITY
On the Unpredictability of Individual Research (PDF)
Michael Sela
Science as Prediction and the Unpredictability of Science (PDF)
Stanley L. Jaki
SESSION VI – PUBLIC PERCEPTION AND POLICY IN THE CONTEXT OF UNCERTAINTY
Some Issues Relating to Predictability and Certainty in Science (PDF)
M. Govind Kumar Menon
Chaos in Self-Exciting Dynamos and the Main Geomagnetic Field (PDF)
Raymond Hide
Collegamenti

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